零风险偏误

求闻百科,共笔求闻

零风险偏误(Zero-risk Bias)是指在有其他方案可以降低整个风险的情形下,仍倾向于完全消除某一项风险的偏见[1]。在决策者针对健康,安全和环境问题进行决策时,特别容易出现零风险偏误[2]。不论是在假设情境和某些现实政策(例如决定反恐战争,或是要减少交通事故枪支暴力的风险)的研究中,都有发现决策受此一偏见影响。一个例子是刻意降低个人负责领域的风险,可是代价是整个组织风险的上升[3]

参考资料

  1. Crosby, Daniel. The Laws of Wealth: Psychology and the secret to investing success. Harriman House Limited. 2016-06-27. ISBN 9780857195258 (英语). 
  2. Virine, Lev; Trumper, Michael. ProjectThink: Why Good Managers Make Poor Project Choices. Oxon: Routledge. 2016: 102, 175. ISBN 9781409454984. 
  3. Wells, Andrew Roman; Chiang, Kathy. Monetizing Your Data: A Guide to Turning Data into Profit-Driving Strategies and Solutions. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons. 2017: 143. ISBN 9781119356240.